Witness

Dr Mark Shaw

Executive Director, Global Initiative Against Transnational Organised Crime · Geneva and Cape Town

Testified · expert witness

The executive director of the Global Initiative Against Transnational Organised Crime, the Geneva-based research network that compiles the global organised crime index, and a long-standing analyst of South African criminal markets. He gave expert evidence to the Madlanga Commission on 2 September 2026 (Day 172), the last public sitting before the commission's September recess, and he is the first witness the archive has recorded who was not there to answer for anything or to accuse anyone. His purpose was measurement. Per EWN and SABC News, he told the panel that 'South Africa is in the top 5% of all countries in the world in respect of criminal markets and actors as measured by the index', placing the country alongside Colombia, Mexico, Paraguay, Ecuador, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Nigeria, Lebanon, Turkey and Kenya, and seventh out of the 193 countries surveyed. He testified that South Africa's homicide rate exceeds those of Colombia and Mexico and now resembles Ecuador's, that Gqeberha ranks third globally among cities affected by territorial gang violence with Cape Town also severely affected, and that the country's criminal markets span drug trafficking, extortion, financial crime, illicit trade and cybercrime. He tied the ranking to state capture and to the infiltration of state institutions by criminal networks, which is this commission's own mandate expressed as comparative research, and said repeated state interventions have failed to reach the causes of the violence. He then turned to remedies, taking the panel through Italy's restructuring of its anti-mafia prosecution system and identifying the absence of legislation dealing with the unexplained wealth of public officials as a gap in South African law. His evidence is expert opinion placed before a commission of inquiry. It is not a finding, and it makes no allegation against any individual.

Mark ShawGI-TOCGlobal Initiative Against Transnational Organised Crimeorganised crime indexexpert witnessMadlanga Commission

This profile summarises testimony and evidence given on the public record before the Madlanga Commission of Inquiry. It restates allegations as presented at the hearings and is not a finding of guilt, liability, or wrongdoing by any person.

Awaiting appearanceNo portrait on the public record yet

Their role

What the record says

South Africa ranks seventh of 193 countries for organised crime

Per EWN and SABC News, Shaw testified on Day 172 that South Africa sits in the top 5% of all countries measured on the global organised crime index maintained by his organisation, and seventh out of 193 countries surveyed. He grouped it with Colombia, Mexico, Paraguay, Ecuador, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Nigeria, Lebanon, Turkey and Kenya. The measure covers both criminal markets and criminal actors, which is why a country with strong formal institutions can still rank near the top. This is research evidence about the country, not an allegation about a person.

A homicide rate above Colombia's and Mexico's, and a city ranked third in the world for gang violence

Shaw's evidence was that South Africa's homicide rate exceeds those of Colombia and Mexico and more closely resembles Ecuador's, and that Gqeberha ranks third globally among cities affected by territorial gang violence, with Cape Town also severely affected. He described long-standing, deeply entrenched gangs and criminal networks that have taken root over decades, falling hardest on marginalised communities, and said that 'repeated state interventions have failed to address the root causes driving the violence'. Comparative research, not a finding.

Linked the ranking to state capture and criminal infiltration of institutions

Per SABC News, Shaw connected South Africa's standing on the index to state capture and to the infiltration of state institutions by criminal networks, and set out the criminal markets involved: drug trafficking, financial crime, extortion, illicit trade and cybercrime. That is the commission's own terms of reference restated as an international measurement, and it is the reason his evidence was led at all: it gives the panel a frame in which the individual strands it has heard across 172 days are symptoms of one measurable condition rather than separate scandals.

Recommended an anti-mafia prosecution architecture and unexplained wealth legislation

Per EWN, Shaw took the commission through interventions used elsewhere, developing Italy's restructuring of its anti-mafia prosecutorial system as the leading example - a specialised, centrally coordinated prosecution architecture built because ordinary prosecution services could not withstand an organised adversary. He also identified a legislative gap in South Africa on the unexplained wealth of public officials. The record of this commission illustrates the gap: it has repeatedly reached officers whose banking does not match their salaries, most recently the 65 deposits totalling R1.7 million put to Lieutenant-Colonel Deenadayalan Govender on Day 170, and there is no standing statutory mechanism compelling an explanation. These are recommendations, not findings.

On the stand

Appears on 1 hearing day

  1. Day 1722 Sep 2026

Connections

How this witness links to the record

Shared the last sitting day before the recess

Lieutenant General Seswantsho Godfrey Lebeya

National Head, Directorate for Priority Crime Investigation (Hawks), 2018 to 2025

Lebeya concluded three days of evidence on the morning of Day 172; Shaw gave expert evidence that afternoon. The two halves of the day are the same subject at different altitudes - one man's account of what he did and did not know, and a measurement of the environment in which it happened.

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The same subject from inside the state

Lieutenant-General Dumisani Khumalo

Head, SAPS Crime Intelligence

Crime Intelligence head Lieutenant-General Dumisani Khumalo named the alleged 'Big Five' and described its reach in September 2025. Shaw's evidence describes the same phenomenon from outside, as comparative measurement rather than as an investigation.

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The gap his recommendation names

Lieutenant-Colonel Deenadayalan Govender

Head of the Hawks' KwaZulu-Natal provincial tracing team; former commander of the province's cash-in-transit task team, South African Police Service

On Day 170 chief evidence leader Advocate Matthew Chaskalson SC put 65 cash deposits totalling R1.7 million to Govender and said the pattern had all the hallmarks of money laundering. Shaw's evidence two days later was that South Africa lacks legislation dealing with the unexplained wealth of public officials. The allegations against Govender are untested and he is presumed innocent.

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The expert who took his diagnosis to a remedy

Laura Pop

Senior financial sector specialist, World Bank

Shaw measured the problem on 2 September 2026, placing South Africa seventh of 193 countries on the global organised crime index and pointing at unexplained-wealth legislation as one response. Laura Pop of the World Bank gave evidence on 16 September 2026 on how such a remedy would have to be built: a once-off integrity evaluation of senior officials with the power to verify their declarations against third-party records.

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“South Africa is in the top 5% of all countries in the world in respect of criminal markets and actors as measured by the index.”
Dr Mark Shaw, executive director of the Global Initiative Against Transnational Organised Crime, giving expert evidence to the Madlanga Commission (Day 172, 2 September 2026), per EWN. Expert opinion evidence on comparative measurement, not a finding about any person.